A Canadian politician with a lot of Twitter followers will likely be elected as Prime Minister, but he or she may not be the most popular politician in Canada, according to new research.
The poll found that only 29 per cent of Canadians think the Liberal Party will get a boost from the Liberals’ victory in the last federal election.
“We’re talking about a political party that is on the rise, a party that’s seen a huge boost in support in recent months,” said Peter Kellner, the lead researcher on the Ipsos-Reid poll, which was conducted for CBC News.
Kellner’s research is based on responses from 5,000 Canadians, ages 18 to 29.
The Ipsos survey asked respondents if they were most likely or somewhat likely to vote Liberal for the first time, and also asked them if they’d consider voting for a third party in a provincial election.
In that survey, more than half of the respondents said they’d support a third-party candidate.
But the results of the Ipso-Reiden poll suggest a different picture.
More than a third of Canadians who are likely to back a third candidate said they were less likely to do so in the future.
Kellners data showed that the Liberal government’s first two years in power have been extremely popular among the country’s young people, but the Liberals have seen their support slip in recent years.
In 2014, just under 20 per cent said they supported the Liberal party.
In 2016, just over 18 per cent backed the Liberals.
And in 2018, just 18 per 100 Canadians said they voted for the Liberals, down from a high of 29 per 100 in 2014.
Kellers research also showed that a number of Liberal MPs, including Justin Trudeau, were viewed unfavorably by young Canadians.
Kell’s data shows that the Liberals were seen as less trustworthy in 2019, with fewer than one in five young Canadians viewing Trudeau favorably.
But by 2020, more young people were viewing Trudeau positively, Kellers said.
Justin Trudeau’s popularity has been a key point of contention for some Liberal MPs and the party’s supporters in recent weeks.
The Liberals are fighting back against criticism that the party has been more focused on winning seats than on promoting issues that young people care about.
Liberals have made a number, including introducing a bill to legalize recreational marijuana, supporting a new law against online bullying, and calling for a $15 minimum wage for most workers.